Thursday, April 27, 2017

--B.C. Election 2017 Poll Tracker: NDP takes big lead on Liberals-------Jared Beaton · Sooke, British Columbia Call all of the parties what you will. But we need not forget; actions speak louder than words. Look at our neighbours next door in Alberta, look at the direction they are going? Or shall i say no direction, and going nowhere fast. BC has grown over the years, employment rates have risen, hwys and bridges are finially being upgraded, and most important people are employed gainfully. Enter the world of NDP, give away everything, entertain the lazy; and the beeding hearts and guess what, the well runs dry, and we are back to square one. Better the devil you know , than the devil you dont. Other countries have invested in BC, why , because we are stong. NDP, not so much, less investing, less confidence leads to less prices for your home, im not sure about you, but i want my home to be worth more than my mortgage. Think of it this way, yes bc in most areas are in housing crisis. This is two fold, hard to buy and rent, but this is the sign of a good economy, strong employment, and heading in the right direction. It also puts pressure on building more, yet again creating gainful jobs. We are becoming what Alberta used to be....did i mention they are lead by NDP? No party is perfect, no leader is perfect, and all of them can offer good and bad. Bottom line, look at the facts, hystory and trends. We need new business to employ, investments to make us stong, and confidence from other countries, to make us stronger. This is happening now, and we cannot deny it. If we jump over to the next party, we are not going to see this growth , again based on previous hystory and trends. Vote smart folks !! Like · Reply · Apr 22, 2017 7:35am Julie Ali · University of Alberta Are you saying that the PCs in Alberta were better than the NDP? If so you are incorrect. Both parties are equally incompetent. The PCs had the Tapcal Trust Fund which was anti-democratic and allowed them funds from who knows where for what reasons I haven't determined. The PCs did not develop the oilsands responsibly. We have an AER -energy regulator that cannot be sued because the PCs made it immune for some odd reason. The PCs allowed the oil and gas industry many subsidies such as free water use for fracking. We don't have much transparency about the fracking business and it's problems other than the Jessica Ernst case that is slowly being crushed with the court costs. As well there was the problem of the orphan wells program that we paid major cash for under the PCs when it is not our liability. The other liability no one talks about is the remediation of the oilsands moonscape. I doubt that big oil will clean up this mess but profits are still being made. Hiring of the NDP folks simply continued the junk. The Notley handed over the $30 million that Trudeau gave for economic stimulation to the oil and gas industry for the orphan well program. Why? I guess she is like the former premiers before her captured territory. As for the promises of the NDP folks we got no movement in the continuing care sector where we were told there would be 2,000 long term care beds, the spin continues in the child welfare system with the same spin of the PCs and we aren't happy with the carbon tax junk that is supposed to be "climate leadership". How does making a carbon tax and then returning the tax money to most Albertans qualify as "climate leadership"? Same spin as with the PCs but better spin writers. Alberta has very little in the Heritage Trust Fund. The PCs didn't do their due diligence to keep it well supplied; the NDP will drain it. It's troubling but the brand of the political party simply doesn't matter. They are all pretty much self serving and do whatever politically expedient chatter and acts to stay in power. Best to change the brands every four years.

Musical political chairs in BC.
In Alberta ticked off voters dumped the incompetent PCs to hire the equally incompetent NDP folks who at the speed of caterpillars are turning into the butterflies that will soon be flying away in the next election.
In BC the ticked off voters are dumping the incompetent Liberals to hire the probably equally incompetent NDP folks. This means in the next round of pipeline talks there will be a morphing of the BC NDP folks into the BC Liberals and then the odd marriage of the BC NDP and the Alberta NDP will happen.
What all this means is that no matter who is hired in BC the pipelines will go through and all will be sweetness and light between the two Orange Crush parties until of course the next provincial election when we go Wildrose. Even then there may be sweetness and light if the BC NDP lose their values as fast as the Alberta NDP lost theirs.
Only one thing is constant now in politics. The parties play at musical political chairs to go from NDP to PC to Liberal.
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B.C. Election 2017 Poll Tracker: NDP takes big lead on Liberals

Published on: April 7, 2017 | Last Updated: April 26, 2017 1:58 PM PDT
April 25 -
Mainstreet/Postmedia poll of decided and leaning voters for B.C. election.
April 25 - Mainstreet/Postmedia poll of decided and leaning voters for B.C. election.
British Columbians will choose their next government in the May 9 provincial election. Check back with our poll tracker to see which party, according to pollsters, is winning the war of public opinion.


The NDP has taken a double-digit lead on the Liberals with a double-digit lead, in the latest Mainstreet/Postmedia B.C. election poll.
The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll was conducted April 20 to 22, just after the leaders’ radio debate last Thursday. Until then, support for the two parties had remained consistently close at roughly 39 per cent for the NDP and 37 per cent for the Liberals.
But over the last few days of campaigning the NDP appear to have surged, with 44 per cent support among decided voters, compared to just 34 per cent for the Liberals. Green support has climbed slightly to 22 per cent.
In Metro Vancouver, home to more than half of B.C.’s ridings, the NDP’s lead over the Liberals is now even higher — a whopping 16 points.
Read our full story HERE.
Mainstreet surveyed 1,650 British Columbians between April 20 and 22, and the margin of error is plus/minus 2.41 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.


April 18 –<br />Mainstreet/Postmedia poll of decided and leaning voters for B.C. election.MAINSTREET RESEARCH/POSTMEDIA
April 18, 2017
The NDP are spinning their wheels, while the B.C. Liberals and Greens are gaining ground, according to results from the latest Mainstreet/Postmedia B.C. election poll.
In the first poll conducted since the writ was dropped last Tuesday, the NDP continue to have the most “decided and leaning” voters, at 39 per cent,  followed by the Liberals at 37 per cent and the Greens at 21 per cent. Both the Greens and Liberals have gained two per cent support since the April 12 Mainstreet/Postmedia survey, while NDP support remains unchanged.

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Among all voters, the NDP sits at 32 per cent, unchanged from last week, followed by the Liberals at 30 per cent (up five per cent), Greens at 15 per cent (up three per cent) and the leaderless B.C. Conservatives at three per cent (down four per cent).
Nineteen per cent of British Columbians still say they are undecided.
April 18 – Mainstreet/Postmedia B.C. Election Poll data
“As the writs dropped the Liberals were able to make gains” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “Most of the Liberal gains came in the Greater Vancouver area, where the NDP now hold just a five point lead – a difference that Liberal incumbents could make up. Today’s portrait of Greater Vancouver would mean the ground war would matter more than ever.”
“The Greens have gained over our last poll as well and are now leading by 4 percentage points on Vancouver Island. At the same time the Green vote has solidified, 53% of Green Voters now say they won’t change their mind — similar to the increase the Liberals and NDP are seeing as well,” Maggi said.
The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.41 percentage points 19 times out of 20. It’s based on a random sample of 1,650 B.C. eligible voters from April 12 to 14, the first full three days after the election was officially launched on April 11. The surveys were conducted with interactive voice response polls, also known as “robo polls,’ to landlines and cellphones.


April 12 Mainstreet/Postmedia poll of decided and leaning voters for B.C. election.
April 12, 2017
A Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds the B.C. NDP and B.C. Liberals both gaining support among voters while the Green party remains steady at 19 per cent.
The telephone survey was conducted last week before the parties unveiled their respective platforms.
Among decided and leaning voters, the NDP commands 39 per cent support, followed by the Liberals at 35 per cent and then the Greens at 19.
“The NDP has extended its lead ever so slightly” said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Research. “They are ahead by four per cent among decided and leaning voters — but it’s important to remember there is a long way to go in this campaign. This poll was taken in the five days before the writs dropped and we expect to see movement as voters begin to learn more about each party’s platform.”
B.C. Conservatives are a distant fourth at seven per cent support, a four-per cent drop from an April 7 Mainstreet/Postmedia poll.
“This week, we saw support for the Conservatives take a sharp drop, perhaps as voters finally begin to realize that they are not a factor in the campaign and non-existent in media coverage,” said Maggi. “It’s not immediately clear that those voters moved to any of the three main parties, this week we also saw a small increase in the number of undecided voters in general.”
The poll numbers suggest Metro Vancouver — where the NDP holds a sizeable nine per cent lead over the Liberals (44 per cent to 35 per cent) — could be the campaign’s fiercest battleground, with 30 per cent of all the region’s voters still undecided.
A Mainstreet/Postmedia poll shows 30 per cent of voters in Metro Vancouver are undecided.
The Green party has held steady at 19 per cent for three weeks, but the poll suggests their committed support continues to grow.
“This is the Green Party’s third week at 19 per cent, just shy of the psychological 20 per cent ceiling. However in good news for the Greens their support is more committed, 46 per cent of their voters say they won’t change their minds compared to just 36 per cent last week That is movement in the right direction,” said Maggi.


April 10, 2017
In the online survey of a representative sample of British Columbians, the approval rating for Premier and BC Liberals leader Christy Clark has dropped to 30% (down six points since an Insights West survey conducted in February). Opposition and BC New Democratic Party leader John Horgan is at 37% (-2), while Andrew Weaver of the BC Green Party shows significant improvement, gaining six points in two months to reach 35%. INSIGHTS WEST SURVEY
What a difference a few days — and a different poll — make.
There is good news for the Green party in the latest B.C. election survey from Insights West.  According to the online survey, the Green leader Andrew Weaver’s approval rating has surpassed Premier Christy Clark of the Liberals — and he is gaining ground on B.C. New Democratic Party leader John Horgan.
Horgan’s approval rating sits at 37 per cent, followed by Weaver at 35 per cent and Clark at 30 per cent. Clark’s rating has dropped six points since February, while Weaver’s has jumped six points.
According to the survey, Weaver has a momentum score of plus-4 (12 per cent say their opinion of the Green leader has improved over the last three months, while 8 per cent say it has worsened). Horgan is even, and Clark stands at minus-39, with 44 per cent saying their opinion of her has worsened.
Among decided voters, 40 per cent said they would cast a ballot for the B.C. NDP candidate in their riding (minus-1 since February). The governing B.C. Liberals are second with 38 per cent (minus-2), followed by the Green Party with 17 per cent (plus-6) and the B.C. Conservative Party with 3 per cent (minus-2).
More than a third of British Columbians (37 per cent) say they would be “very upset” if the B.C. NDP forms the government again in the province, including 48% of those aged 55 and over. Conversely, a majority of residents (53%) say they would be “very upset” if the B.C. Liberals remain in power, including 57% of those aged 18-to-34.
Results are based on an online study conducted by Insights West from April 5 to April 8, 2017, among 801 British Columbian adults, including 625 decided voters in the 2017 provincial election. Click here for complete data.


APRIL  7, 2017
British Columbians prepare for the 41st provincial election. The three main party leaders: Andrew Weaver (Green), John Horgan (NDP) and Christy Clark (Liberal). VANCOUVER SUN FILES
Although the B.C. election campaign has yet to officially get underway (the writ drops Tuesday), B.C. NDP leader John Horgan has already rolled out on the campaign trail as he tries to build on his party’s popularity.
According to the latest Mainstreet Research poll, which surveyed respondents April 1-3, 36 per cent of B.C.’s decided and leaning voters have thrown their support behind Horgan’s NDP.  The Liberals follow at 33 per cent, the Greens are third at 19 per cent, and the Conservatives sit at 11 per cent.
The race has tightened slightly since mid-March, when the NPD enjoyed a 38 per cent approval rate compared to the Liberals’ 34 per cent.

Larry Robertson ·
What was Horgan saying last night about the Forestry sector loosing 30000 jobs in 16 years????Doesn't he realize that not only the forestry sector but every industry has innovated and worked smarter over the past 16 years. Part of the 30000 jobs lost would be contributed to the innovation.....Hasn't he seen the trend globally over the past decade. Do we really want to elect a leader that's still in the dark ages????? Even he cant stop innovation in every industry. Folks Vote smart on May 9, 2017 and not vote for becoming a "Have not Province." We need a premier that's always seeking new investment opportunities to bring to our province.
LikeReply11 hrs
Julie Ali ·
Don't worry. Once Mr. Horgan gets to government he will do what the Notley did in Alberta which is become like the PCs. In BC, I guess Mr. Horgan will become like the Liberals.

The new political hires also tend to be worse than the dynasty party. There is no change really with the change in political parties in terms of government performance but we get better spin with the NDPCs than we did with the PCs.
LikeReply10 minsEdited
Michael Leger ·
Get real, dosen't matter who gets elected nothing truly changes except all the hack's that get cushy government jobs. If we get a new premier, we will all be mad as hell at them in a couple of years anyways. Do we really want the NDP ? Please respond in kind.
UnlikeReply1Apr 26, 2017 6:48pm
Julie Ali ·
It is good to change the political hires every four years. Since they are all the same at least we get some variety in the incompetence in politicians.
LikeReply9 mins
Bruce Macleod ·
Don't Trust any right wing polling people. Besides, they could bring Christy to the podium in a wheel barrow for the debate tonight, have her lip sync answers, or even fall asleep and the PostMedia, Corus media group will say she won the debate.
Huang Qing
NDP represents Canadian working class, and Libs represent overseas money flipping the houses, which expel local Canadians out of their hometown.
LikeReply1Apr 26, 2017 4:13pm
Julie Ali ·
Actually all the political parties represent only themselves and no one represents the ordinary citizens. It's doubtful to me that the hiring of the NDP folks will alter what is present which is poor government performance for the people but great service for the elite.
LikeReply8 mins
Jan A C Andersson
Please do not fall for these false polls that is falsified to lull NDP voters the hope of victory ,they were succesfull in the last election do not allow them this trick again if you are a NDP supporter and this false polls has NDP at 65% do not believe it is a LIE.
Julie Ali ·
Actually the polls may be correct. No one believed that the NDP would win in Alberta until they did. When voters are ticked off the polls are correct.
LikeReply7 mins
Jared Beaton ·
Call all of the parties what you will. But we need not forget; actions speak louder than words. Look at our neighbours next door in Alberta, look at the direction they are going? Or shall i say no direction, and going nowhere fast. BC has grown over the years, employment rates have risen, hwys and bridges are finially being upgraded, and most important people are employed gainfully.
Enter the world of NDP, give away everything, entertain the lazy; and the beeding hearts and guess what, the well runs dry, and we are back to square one. Better the devil you know , than the devil you dont. Other countries have invested in BC, why , because we are stong. NDP, not so much, less investing, less confidence leads to less prices for your home, im not sure about you, but i want my home to be worth more than my mortgage. Think of it this way, yes bc in most areas are in housing crisis. This is two fold, hard to buy and rent, but this is the sign of a good economy, strong employment, and heading in the right direction. It also puts pressure on building more, yet again creating gainful jobs.
We are becoming what Alberta used to be....did i mention they are lead by NDP?
No party is perfect, no leader is perfect, and all of them can offer good and bad. Bottom line, look at the facts, hystory and trends. We need new business to employ, investments to make us stong, and confidence from other countries, to make us stronger. This is happening now, and we cannot deny it. If we jump over to the next party, we are not going to see this growth , again based on previous hystory and trends.
Vote smart folks !!
Julie Ali ·
Are you saying that the PCs in Alberta were better than the NDP? If so you are incorrect. Both parties are equally incompetent. The PCs had the Tapcal Trust Fund which was anti-democratic and allowed them funds from who knows where for what reasons I haven't determined. The PCs did not develop the oilsands responsibly. We have an AER -energy regulator that cannot be sued because the PCs made it immune for some odd reason. The PCs allowed the oil and gas industry many subsidies such as free water use for fracking. We don't have much transparency about the fracking business and it's problems other than the Jessica Ernst case that is slowly being crushed with the court costs. As well there was the problem of the orphan wells program that we paid major cash for under the PCs when it is not our liability. The other liability no one talks about is the remediation of the oilsands moonscape. I doubt that big oil will clean up this mess but profits are still being made.

Hiring of the NDP folks simply continued the junk. The Notley handed over the $30 million that Trudeau gave for economic stimulation to the oil and gas industry for the orphan well program. Why? I guess she is like the former premiers before her captured territory. As for the promises of the NDP folks we got no movement in the continuing care sector where we were told there would be 2,000 long term care beds, the spin continues in the child welfare system with the same spin of the PCs and we aren't happy with the carbon tax junk that is supposed to be "climate leadership". How does making a carbon tax and then returning the tax money to most Albertans qualify as "climate leadership"? Same spin as with the PCs but better spin writers.

Alberta has very little in the Heritage Trust Fund. The PCs didn't do their due diligence to keep it well supplied; the NDP will drain it. It's troubling but the brand of the political party simply doesn't matter. They are all pretty much self serving and do whatever politically expedient chatter and acts to stay in power. Best to change the brands every four years.
LikeReplyJust now


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