Saturday, February 11, 2017

Julie Ali · University of Alberta The NDP win was unexpected and will not happen again. I believe that the Wildrose will win the next election because ordinary citizens like myself who voted NDP are not happy with the lack of work done in the continuing care system and we're voting Wildrose. I doubt that any of these polls matter when citizens are ticked off. You only have to see what happened in the last provincial election when we were steamed and voted out the less than satisfactory PCs. The NDP appear to be similarly unable to manage government and will be turfed at the next election. The staggering amount of money they are spending without any pruning of ABCs (agencies, boards and commissions) will ensure that our kids are in debt for ages. Like · Reply ·

http://calgaryherald.com/news/politics/embargoed-new-alberta-poll-shows-tight-race

New Alberta poll shows tight popularity race between NDP and Wildrose Party

Published on: November 30, 2016 | Last Updated: November 30, 2016 2:13 PM MST
On the left, Wildrose leader Brian Jean. On the right, Premier and Alberta NDP leader Rachel Notley
On the left, Wildrose leader Brian Jean. On the right, Premier and Alberta NDP leader Rachel Notley CALGARY HERALD
The Wildrose and NDP are neck-and-neck more than two years ahead of the next provincial election in 2019, according to a new poll.
The ThinkHQ Public Affairs survey shows the Wildrose with 35 per cent support among leaning and decided voters if the election was held today, while the NDP comes in at 31 per cent.
The Progressive Conservatives are in third place with the backing of 24 per cent of those surveyed.
The Liberals and the Alberta Party are far behind, at four and three per cent support respectively.
ThinkHQ’s Marc Henry said that while the NDP suffered a drop in support since its election in May of 2015, polling numbers have remained relatively stable over the past year.
“I suspect as we get closer to the election, we’ll see a great deal of volatility, to be honest,” he said in an interview Tuesday.
Henry noted there are a number of factors in Alberta politics that remain unsettled, such as the push and pull over uniting the Wildrose and PCs into one party.
Think HQ politics poll graphic
The poll was conducted from Nov. 15 to 20 through online interviews of a panel of 1,106 Albertans. Undecided respondents totalled 21 per cent.
The poll stands in contrast to another recent survey conducted by Lethbridge College’s Citizen Society Research Lab in October, which put the PCs in first at 38.4 per cent support, followed by the Wildrose at 25.7 per cent and the NDP at 19.7 per cent support.
But Henry said he’s confident in his work. He noted that the NDP retains significant support among younger voters and have established themselves as the provincial alternative for progressive voters.
“They’re government, for one thing. So you have a lot of people who have voted progressively, voted either NDP or voted Liberal over the years . . . they do have that sort of left-of-centre vote largely captured,” he said, noting a significant question is whether the NDP can win back the supporters it lost since the last election.
The poll shows a particularly tight race in Calgary, where the NDP at 31 per cent are narrowly ahead of the Wildrose and Tories, who are tied at 29 per cent. Rachel Notley’s New Democrats are significantly ahead in Edmonton, where the party holds every seat, sitting at 42 per cent compared with the Wildrose’s 27 per cent and the PCs’ 21 per cent.
The Wildrose has a double-digit lead in every other region of the province.
Online polls do not have a margin of error because the sample is not random, but a probability sample of this size would yield a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points at a 95 per cent confidence interval.



Julie Ali · 
The NDP win was unexpected and will not happen again. I believe that the Wildrose will win the next election because ordinary citizens like myself who voted NDP are not happy with the lack of work done in the continuing care system and we're voting Wildrose.

I doubt that any of these polls matter when citizens are ticked off. You only have to see what happened in the last provincial election when we were steamed and voted out the less than satisfactory PCs.

The NDP appear to be similarly unable to manage government and will be turfed at the next election. The staggering amount of money they are spending without any pruning of ABCs (agencies, boards and commissions) will ensure that our kids are in debt for ages.
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